8

Kalamity De Chenu

6yo Mare · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix Des Cedres - Attele · 1m 5f 120y

#7

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 01/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 01/09C?C0 @ La Capelle 22/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 22/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 022/11C?C0 @ Vincennes 10/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 03/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 1433/01C?4 @ Angers 15/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m3f149y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 08/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 08/02C?5 @ Vincennes 21/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 06 @ Pornichet 23/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 023/076projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Pornichet69th9th0
2026-03-21Vincennes59th9th0
2026-03-02Le Croise-Laroche?0
2026-02-08Vincennes?1st1st0
2026-01-15Angers43rd3rd0
2026-01-03Vincennes?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0910/128/0223/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength24%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/09/20256th40/10%44%+0.44
22/09/20251st11/893%100%+0.07
22/11/202511th66/10%33%+0.33
10/12/20251st14/126%100%+0.74
03/01/20269th50/10%11%+0.11
15/01/20263rd10/147%85%+0.37
08/02/20261st7/491%100%+0.09
21/03/20269th18/15%47%+0.41
23/07/20269th80/10%20%+0.20