6

Lady Fairy

5yo Filly · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix Des Coreopsis - Attele · 1m 5f 120y

#10

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cabourg 16/07/2024 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 016/07C?C0 @ Cabourg 06/08/2024 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 05 @ Argentan 06/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 06/0256 @ Amiens 21/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 0C0 @ Caen 30/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 030/03C?C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 04/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Argentan 19/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 019/05C?5 @ Cabourg 10/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 28/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 028/07C?projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-28Meslay Du Maine?9th9th0
2026-07-10Cabourg56th6th0
2026-05-19Argentan?5th5th0
2026-05-04Meslay Du Maine?1st1st0
2026-03-30Caen?1st1st0
2026-02-21Amiens62nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0721/0219/0528/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength21%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/07/20246th28/10%62%+0.62
06/08/20245th33/10%69%+0.69
06/02/20263rd12/137%88%+0.51
21/02/20262nd8/158%92%+0.34
30/03/20261st9/153%100%+0.47
04/05/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
19/05/20265th2/189%71%-0.18
10/07/20266th18/15%64%+0.59
28/07/20269th28/10%43%+0.43