13

Luaria

5yo Filly · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix Des Coreopsis - Attele · 1m 5f 120y

#1

Rank

Odds

15/8

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

94%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength11%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 14/01/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13414/01C?C0 @ Vincennes 27/05/2025 · Pos 8th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 01/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 1341/07C?C0 @ Cabourg 22/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 134C0 @ Mauquenchy 09/11/2025 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 09/11C?C0 @ Amiens 26/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 16/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 13416/12C?C0 @ Graignes 06/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 05 @ Caen 16/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 13916/055projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-30Caen50
2026-05-16Caen51st1st0
2026-05-06Graignes?3rd3rd0
2025-12-16Cabourg?1st1st0
2025-12-08Angers?0
2025-11-26Amiens?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0122/0716/1216/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/01/20252nd4/179%90%+0.11
27/05/20258th50/10%50%+0.50
01/07/20254th22/10%75%+0.75
22/07/20251st17/255%100%+0.45
09/11/202510th80/10%36%+0.36
26/11/20256th40/10%58%+0.58
16/12/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
06/05/20263rd40/10%83%+0.83
16/05/20261st9/276%100%+0.24