13

Luaria
5yo Filly · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix Des Coreopsis - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#1
Rank
Odds
15/8
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
94%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Caen | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-16 | Caen | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Graignes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-16 | Cabourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-12-08 | Angers | ? | 0 | ||
| 2025-11-26 | Amiens | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/01/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |
| 27/05/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 01/07/2025 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 22/07/2025 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 09/11/2025 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 26/11/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 58% | +0.58 |
| 16/12/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 06/05/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |