9

Lupin Du Rib

5yo Gelding · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix Des Coreopsis - Attele · 1m 5f 120y

#5

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Caen 28/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 028/05C?C0 @ Laval 12/06/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 08/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 08/07C?C0 @ Le Mont-Saint-Michel 16/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 25/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 025/07C?C0 @ Cabourg 23/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Laval 07/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 07/11C?C0 @ Cabourg 14/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 06 @ La Capelle 24/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 024/076projClass-projected finish: 9th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24La Capelle63rd3rd0
2026-07-14Cabourg?3rd3rd0
2025-11-07Laval?11th11th0
2025-10-23Cabourg?11th11th0
2025-07-25Cabourg?2nd2nd0
2025-07-16Le Mont-Saint-Michel?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/0516/077/1124/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength76%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/05/20255th33/10%69%+0.69
12/06/20253rd11/142%82%+0.40
08/07/20258th22/10%46%+0.46
16/07/20252nd18/15%92%+0.86
25/07/20252nd9/488%92%+0.04
23/10/202511th33/10%33%+0.33
07/11/202511th33/10%33%+0.33
14/07/20263rd9/276%80%+0.04
24/07/20263rd11/486%71%-0.14