8

Mystic D'ave

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix Des Coreopsis - Attele · 1m 5f 120y

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength9%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Caen 16/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 016/055C0 @ Caen 27/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 0C0 @ Reims 31/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 031/05C?C0 @ Caen 10/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 0C0 @ Agen 17/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f176y Std 017/06C?C0 @ Le Mont-Saint-Michel 30/06/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 07/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 07/07C?C0 @ Cabourg 21/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 31/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 031/07C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-31Cabourg?6th6th0
2026-07-21Cabourg?2nd2nd0
2026-07-07Cabourg?1st1st0
2026-06-30Le Mont-Saint-Michel?9th9th0
2026-06-17Agen?4th4th0
2026-06-10Caen?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0510/067/0731/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/05/202612th100/10%8%+0.08
27/05/20267th40/10%50%+0.50
31/05/20263rd28/10%71%+0.71
10/06/20265th80/10%73%+0.73
17/06/20264th12/137%75%+0.38
30/06/20269th40/10%20%+0.20
07/07/20261st66/10%100%+1.00
21/07/20262nd18/15%90%+0.85
31/07/20266th4/179%50%-0.29