11

Hello De Ligny

9yo Gelding · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix Bruno Coquatrix - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#11

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Marseille 07/11/2022 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m5f38y 1437/11C?C0 @ Marseille 03/12/2022 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m5f38y 143C0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 11/01/2023 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m6f118y Gd 14311/01C?C0 @ Le Mans 13/04/2023 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 143C0 @ Marseille-borely 09/05/2023 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 1439/05C?C0 @ Marseille-borely 31/05/2023 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 143C0 @ Marseille-borely 17/05/2024 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 14317/05C?C0 @ Beaumont-De-Lomagne 09/06/2024 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 03/07/2024 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 1433/07C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2024-07-03Enghien?5th5th0
2024-06-09Beaumont-De-Lomagne?9th9th0
2024-05-17Marseille-borely?1st1st0
2023-05-31Marseille-borely?1st1st0
2023-05-09Marseille-borely?1st1st0
2023-04-13Le Mans?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/1113/0417/053/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 16
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/11/20221st8/1397%100%+0.03
03/12/20221st5/696%100%+0.04
11/01/20233rd8/1597%80%-0.17
13/04/20235th7/491%64%-0.27
09/05/20231st1/195%100%+0.05
31/05/20231st11/1094%100%+0.06
17/05/20241st11/893%100%+0.07
09/06/20249th50/10%47%+0.47
03/07/20245th2/189%71%-0.18