13

Ibanque Lebel

8yo Mare · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix Bruno Coquatrix - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#8

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Saint Galmier 25/01/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m2f14y Std 025/01C?C0 @ Cabourg 29/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Chateaubriant 08/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 08/08C?C0 @ Vichy 26/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 04/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 04/10C?C0 @ Saint Galmier 04/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 08/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 08/12C?C0 @ Argentan 23/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 18 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Amiens 29/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 029/07C?projClass-projected finish: 15th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-29Amiens?8th8th0
2026-06-07Chateaubriant?0
2025-12-23Argentan?6th6th0
2025-12-08Cabourg?3rd3rd0
2025-11-04Saint Galmier?2nd2nd0
2025-10-04Cabourg?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0126/088/1229/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 16
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength8%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/01/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
29/07/20254th20/10%79%+0.79
08/08/20254th8/158%77%+0.19
26/08/20252nd5/287%93%+0.06
04/10/20256th6/168%67%-0.02
04/11/20252nd2/189%92%+0.02
08/12/20253rd13/266%83%+0.18
23/12/20256th11/142%71%+0.28
29/07/20268th33/10%22%+0.22