1

Jaina D'essarts

7yo Mare · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix Bruno Coquatrix - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#4

Rank

Odds

13/8

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

7%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 2.6)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Saint-Malo 12/07/2024 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 012/07C?C0 @ Saint-Malo 08/06/2025 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 0C0 @ Les Sables 12/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 012/07C?C0 @ Cabourg 12/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Caen 04/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 04/09C?5 @ Vincennes 22/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 0C0 @ Argentan 13/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 18 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 013/04C?C0 @ Lisieux 07/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 06 @ Caen 18/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 018/066projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-15Lisieux?0
2026-06-18Caen63rd3rd0
2026-06-07Lisieux?1st1st0
2026-04-13Argentan?3rd3rd0
2026-01-22Vincennes57th7th0
2025-12-27Vincennes?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0712/0813/0418/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 16
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/07/20242nd7/163%92%+0.29
08/06/20251st22/10%100%+1.00
12/07/20253rd3/184%83%-0.01
12/08/20251st3/184%100%+0.16
04/09/20252nd4/179%93%+0.14
22/01/20267th16/116%57%+0.41
13/04/20263rd16/116%88%+0.72
07/06/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
18/06/20263rd15/890%86%-0.04