2

Joker Du Match

7yo Gelding · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix Bruno Coquatrix - Attele · 1m 5f 147y

#12

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.7)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Amiens 13/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 013/11C?C0 @ Beaumont-De-Lomagne 30/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 17 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 08/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 08/12C?C0 @ Argentan 13/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Chateaubriant 22/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 022/04C?C0 @ Vire 18/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 0C0 @ Lisieux 07/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 07/06C?6 @ Amiens 10/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m6f91y Std 05 @ Cabourg 24/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 024/075projClass-projected finish: 7th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-31Cabourg?0
2026-07-24Cabourg57th7th0
2026-07-10Amiens62nd2nd0
2026-06-07Lisieux?3rd3rd0
2026-05-18Vire?9th9th0
2026-04-22Chateaubriant?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/1113/047/0624/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 16
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength42%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/11/20256th7/282%62%-0.20
30/11/20255th5/174%75%+0.01
08/12/202510th9/276%40%-0.36
13/04/20263rd17/255%87%+0.31
22/04/20261st8/158%100%+0.42
18/05/20269th11/271%53%-0.18
07/06/20263rd11/271%85%+0.14
10/07/20262nd7/282%91%+0.09
24/07/20267th22/10%60%+0.60