1

Lawrence Dairpet

5yo Gelding · 9-2

Cabourg · Prix Cabourg Jet (prix Carderes) - Monte · 1m 5f 147y

#11

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cabourg 09/08/2024 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 1329/08C?C0 @ Cabourg 27/08/2024 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 13227/08C?C0 @ Cabourg 26/10/2024 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 13226/10C?6 @ Mauquenchy 23/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 14323/076projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Mauquenchy611th11th0
2024-10-26Cabourg?5th5th0
2024-08-27Cabourg?10th10th0
2024-08-09Cabourg?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0827/0826/1023/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength16%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/08/20244th18/15%70%+0.65
27/08/202410th12/137%31%-0.06
26/10/20245th14/126%67%+0.40
23/07/202611th66/10%29%+0.29