4

Le Tango Du Renard

5yo Gelding · 9-6

Cabourg · Prix Cabourg Jet (prix Carderes) - Monte · 1m 5f 147y

#9

Rank

Odds

33/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Amiens 10/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 010/07C?C0 @ Caen 20/09/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 020/09C?C0 @ Cabourg 23/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 023/10C?C0 @ Caen 16/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 14316/03C?C0 @ Vichy 10/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 14310/05C?6 @ Lisieux 02/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 18 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 02/0766 @ Le Mont-Saint-Michel 16/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 016/076projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16Le Mont-Saint-Michel64th4th0
2026-07-02Lisieux610th10th0
2026-05-10Vichy?3rd3rd0
2026-03-16Caen?5th5th0
2026-03-02Caen?0
2025-11-26Amiens?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/0716/0316/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 11
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength69%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/07/20255th4/179%67%-0.12
20/09/20252nd25/10%92%+0.92
23/10/20256th11/142%67%+0.25
16/03/20265th14/126%56%+0.29
10/05/20263rd14/126%67%+0.40
02/07/202610th80/10%47%+0.47
16/07/20264th33/10%75%+0.75