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7

Loviou Josselyn

5yo Gelding · 9-2

Cabourg · Prix Cabourg Jet (prix Carderes) - Monte · 1m 5f 147y

#1

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

72%

Place Prob

57%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength21%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Graignes 16/03/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13616/03C?C0 @ Graignes 09/05/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 136C0 @ Cabourg 08/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 1368/07C?C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 13/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 1396 @ Mauquenchy 12/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 12812/026C0 @ Lyon La Soie 18/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 123C0 @ Vichy 15/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 12815/06C?6 @ Le Mans 25/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 13225/076projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Le Mans62nd2nd0
2026-06-15Vichy?3rd3rd0
2026-05-27Caen?0
2026-02-18Lyon La Soie?1st1st0
2026-02-12Mauquenchy63rd3rd0
2025-12-13Lyon-Parilly?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0313/1215/0625/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 11
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength48%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/03/20255th18/15%60%+0.55
09/05/202510th28/10%25%+0.25
08/07/20258th50/10%46%+0.46
13/12/20251st15/261%100%+0.39
12/02/20263rd10/382%82%-0.01
18/02/20261st4/998%100%+0.02
15/06/20263rd4/179%78%-0.01
25/07/20262nd12/137%92%+0.55