IvyArcIvyArc
8

Mekong

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix Des Dauphinelles - Attele · 1m 2f 41y

#12

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Argentan 25/05/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 025/05C?C0 @ Caen 11/06/2025 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 0C0 @ Vire 25/06/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 025/06C?C0 @ Cabourg 01/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 15/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 015/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 02/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 05 @ Vincennes 13/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 013/025C0 @ Caen 02/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 02/03C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-02Caen?9th9th0
2026-02-13Vincennes56th6th0
2025-09-02Vincennes?4th4th0
2025-08-15Cabourg?5th5th0
2025-08-01Cabourg?5th5th0
2025-06-25Vire?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/051/0813/022/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength52%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/05/20255th15/261%60%-0.01
11/06/20259th28/10%33%+0.33
25/06/20254th18/15%67%+0.61
01/08/20255th33/10%60%+0.60
15/08/20255th25/10%56%+0.56
02/09/20254th10/147%67%+0.19
13/02/20266th66/10%50%+0.50
02/03/20269th18/15%33%+0.28