12

Monogame

4yo Gelding · 0-0

Cabourg · Prix Des Dauphinelles - Attele · 1m 2f 41y

#5

Rank

Odds

14/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Le Mont-Saint-Michel 17/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 017/08C?C0 @ Reims 10/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m4f148y Std 010/11C?C0 @ Mauquenchy 02/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 02/12C?C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 15/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y 015/12C?C0 @ Reims 23/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 023/04C?6 @ Amiens 10/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 010/0766 @ La Capelle 24/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 024/076projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24La Capelle69th9th0
2026-07-10Amiens62nd2nd0
2026-04-23Reims?3rd3rd0
2025-12-15Le Croise-Laroche?5th5th0
2025-12-02Mauquenchy?7th7th0
2025-11-10Reims?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/0815/1224/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength67%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/08/20253rd17/255%82%+0.27
10/11/20258th17/255%22%-0.33
02/12/20257th33/10%54%+0.54
15/12/20255th66/10%73%+0.73
23/04/20263rd16/116%85%+0.69
10/07/20262nd6/168%91%+0.22
24/07/20269th14/126%33%+0.07