4
Newton De Mongochy
3yo Gelding · 0-0
Cabourg · Prix Des Niveoles - Attele · 1m 5f 120y
#9
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Enghien | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Vichy | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-22 | Caen | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Caen | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-27 | Caen | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Caen | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength34%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 83% | +0.41 |
| 16/03/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 25/03/2026 | 5th | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 30/03/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 82% | +0.77 |
| 27/05/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 22/06/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 16/07/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |