Penny Loafer
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 89
Charles Town · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.6)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Charles Town | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-03-07 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-02-01 | Laurel Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2024-12-22 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2024-12-06 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2024-10-03 | Laurel Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/2024 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 13/07/2024 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 29% | +0.13 |
| 17/08/2024 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 03/10/2024 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |
| 06/12/2024 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 22/12/2024 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 01/02/2025 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 07/03/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 80% | -0.08 |
| 03/07/2026 | 8th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |