7
Tactics
3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 69
Charles Town · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
25%
Place Prob
34%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-04 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Laurel Park | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength90%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/01/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 13/02/2026 | 5th | 1/1 | 95% | 20% | -0.75 |
| 06/03/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 80% | -0.13 |
| 28/03/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 14/05/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 56% | -0.02 |
| 05/06/2026 | 11th | 40/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 04/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 19/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |