3
Tree Of Dem
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 57
Charles Town · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength79%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 60% | -0.16 |
| 14/03/2026 | 4th | 4/5 | 96% | 25% | -0.71 |
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 10/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 01/05/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |
| 28/05/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |
| 12/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 03/07/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |