7
Creed Calling
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 62
Charles Town · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
55%
Place Prob
38%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-07-05 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-06-07 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-05-24 | Charles Town | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-04-18 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-03-29 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength55%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |
| 28/02/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |
| 29/03/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 18/04/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 24/05/2025 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 07/06/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |
| 05/07/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 12/06/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |