4
Remy's Top Gun
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 59
Charles Town · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
6/4
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-10-02 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-25 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-12 | Charles Town | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-08-24 | Charles Town | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength98%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/05/2025 | 8th | 9/4 | 88% | 0% | -0.88 |
| 11/07/2025 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 16/08/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/08/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 12/09/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 25/09/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 02/10/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 18/06/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 28/06/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |