1
Sparkleinyoureye
6yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 52
Charles Town · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
7%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength41%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Mountaineer | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-06-27 | Charles Town | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Charles Town | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-28 | Charles Town | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Charles Town | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 8
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength60%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/11/2025 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 60% | +0.34 |
| 20/11/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 09/01/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 71% | +0.11 |
| 07/02/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 33% | -0.14 |
| 28/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 71% | +0.08 |
| 02/05/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 27/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 07/07/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 80% | +0.12 |