12

Idylle Du Chatault

8yo Mare · 0-0

Chateaubriant · Prix Pierre Lefeuvre - Attele · 1m 3f 95y

#9

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 9.6 /10 (raw 6.9)

Highest class: 7
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vichy 23/09/2023 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 023/09C?C0 @ Enghien 30/09/2023 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 17/10/2023 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 017/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 11/12/2023 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 0C0 @ Angers 31/01/2024 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 1m7f117y Std 031/01C?C0 @ Caen 24/06/2024 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 0C0 @ Cordemais 20/04/2025 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 020/04C?C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 15/08/2025 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 07 @ Pornichet 16/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 016/077projClass-projected finish: 10th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16Pornichet710th10th0
2025-08-15Meslay Du Maine?6th6th0
2025-08-08Chateaubriant?0
2025-04-20Cordemais?9th9th0
2024-06-24Caen?14th14th0
2024-01-31Angers?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0911/1220/0416/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength29%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/09/20235th33/10%67%+0.67
30/09/202310th22/10%40%+0.40
17/10/20239th28/10%33%+0.33
11/12/20237th15/261%33%-0.27
31/01/20249th40/10%33%+0.33
24/06/202414th100/10%13%+0.13
20/04/20259th50/10%38%+0.38
15/08/20256th66/10%67%+0.67
16/07/202610th66/10%25%+0.25