6

Jour D'erable

7yo Gelding · 0-0

Chateaubriant · Prix Pierre Lefeuvre - Attele · 1m 3f 95y

#7

Rank

Odds

16/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cabourg 23/12/2024 · Pos 9th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 023/12C?C0 @ Vincennes 28/01/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Graignes 09/05/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 09/05C?C0 @ Caen 19/06/2025 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 0C0 @ Chateaubriant 07/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 07/07C?C0 @ Cabourg 25/07/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Cherbourg 18/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f10y Std 018/08C?C0 @ Enghien 08/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 16/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 016/12C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-12-16Cabourg?10th10th0
2025-11-20Graignes?0
2025-10-08Enghien?9th9th0
2025-08-18Cherbourg?3rd3rd0
2025-07-25Cabourg?6th6th0
2025-07-07Chateaubriant?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/1219/0618/0816/12
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength23%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 14.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/12/20249th25/10%43%+0.43
28/01/20256th3/184%58%-0.26
09/05/202510th14/126%31%+0.04
19/06/20252nd10/147%90%+0.43
07/07/20254th7/282%80%-0.02
25/07/20256th10/147%62%+0.14
18/08/20253rd8/158%85%+0.27
08/10/20259th8/158%47%-0.11
16/12/202510th16/116%31%+0.15