5
Kirene Flash
6yo Mare · 0-0
Chateaubriant · Prix Pierre Lefeuvre - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#5
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.1)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Cabourg | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Caen | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Graignes | 5 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-06 | Graignes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Caen | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Amiens | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength84%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 09/09/2025 | 9th | 17/2 | 55% | 20% | -0.35 |
| 02/02/2026 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 04/03/2026 | 1st | 11/8 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 25/04/2026 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 06/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 85% | +0.37 |
| 22/05/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 42% | +0.15 |
| 30/05/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 03/07/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 69% | +0.27 |