10

Norma Castelle
3yo Filly · 0-0
Chateaubriant · Prix Ganymede - Attele · 1m 3f 204y
#13
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Le Mont-Saint-Michel | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Lisieux | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-11 | Amiens | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Vire | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-05 | Caen | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-15 | Pontchateau | 6 | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 14
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength49%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 10th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 11/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 02/07/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 16/07/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |