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Mayflower Dulonray

4yo Filly · 0-0

Chateaubriant · Prix Varenne - Attele · 1m 3f 95y

#9

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.5)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Saint-Malo 08/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 08/07C?C0 @ Cabourg 19/08/2025 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Caen 17/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m4f39y Hvy 017/09C?C0 @ Amiens 13/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m3f204y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 28/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f178y Std 028/11C?6 @ Caen 30/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 05 @ Caen 18/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 018/0656 @ Le Mont-Saint-Michel 16/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f65y Std 016/076projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16Le Mont-Saint-Michel67th7th0
2026-06-18Caen55th5th0
2026-05-30Caen66th6th0
2025-12-23Argentan?0
2025-11-28Vincennes?8th8th0
2025-11-13Amiens?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0713/1118/0616/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength57%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/07/20255th80/10%69%+0.69
19/08/20257th66/10%40%+0.40
17/09/20253rd28/10%85%+0.85
13/11/20253rd9/153%83%+0.31
28/11/20258th40/10%46%+0.46
30/05/20266th25/10%58%+0.58
18/06/20265th33/10%73%+0.73
16/07/20267th66/10%54%+0.54