4
Midnight Somolli
4yo Filly · 0-0
Chateaubriant · Prix Varenne - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#13
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 7.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Le Mont-Saint-Michel | 6 | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-24 | Mauquenchy | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-17 | Vincennes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-09 | Graignes | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-22 | Vincennes | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-08 | Cabourg | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength53%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 50% | +0.24 |
| 17/09/2025 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 08/12/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 22/01/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 17/02/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 24/02/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |