10
My Lovely Girl
4yo Filly · 0-0
Chateaubriant · Prix Varenne - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#2
Rank
Odds
8/13
Win Prob
38%
Place Prob
43%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Vichy | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Nantes | 5 | 0 | ||
| 2016-10-16 | Chantilly | ? | 0 | ||
| 2016-07-22 | Chantilly | ? | 0 | ||
| 2016-06-11 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2014-09-18 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 13
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2010 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 87% | +0.39 |
| 22/11/2011 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 77% | +0.01 |
| 11/06/2016 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 81% | +0.81 |
| 01/07/2026 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |