12

Laura De Touchyvon

5yo Filly · 0-0

Chateaubriant · Prix Henri Portais - Attele · 1m 3f 95y

#4

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Nantes 13/01/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 013/01C?C0 @ Saint Brieuc 05/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m7f144y Std 05/12C?C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 18/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 018/12C?5 @ Saint Brieuc 23/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 1m7f144y 023/015C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 17/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 017/03C?C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 28/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 028/05C?6 @ Saint-Malo 09/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 09/076projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-09Saint-Malo67th7th0
2026-05-28Meslay Du Maine?7th7th0
2026-05-11Argentan?0
2026-03-17Meslay Du Maine?1st1st0
2026-01-23Saint Brieuc58th8th0
2025-12-18Meslay Du Maine?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today13/0123/019/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength34%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
13/01/20258th33/10%36%+0.36
05/12/20252nd18/15%93%+0.88
18/12/20252nd28/10%93%+0.93
23/01/20268th20/10%30%+0.30
17/03/20261st33/10%100%+1.00
28/05/20267th3/184%33%-0.51
09/07/20267th10/147%45%-0.02