1

Lavezzi Peji

5yo Filly · 0-0

Chateaubriant · Prix Henri Portais - Attele · 1m 3f 95y

#5

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.7)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cabourg 12/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 012/08C?C0 @ Cabourg 26/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Laval 25/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 025/09C?C0 @ Enghien 18/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 05 @ Lisieux 26/03/2026 · Pos 10th of 18 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 026/035C0 @ Argentan 11/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 0C0 @ Argentan 19/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 019/05C?5 @ Amiens 10/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f91y Std 06 @ Le Mans 25/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 025/076projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-25Le Mans64th4th0
2026-07-10Amiens54th4th0
2026-05-19Argentan?3rd3rd0
2026-05-11Argentan?7th7th0
2026-03-26Lisieux510th10th0
2025-10-18Enghien?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today12/0818/1019/0525/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength92%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
12/08/20252nd7/163%93%+0.30
26/08/20255th5/493%73%-0.20
25/09/20253rd8/158%87%+0.29
18/10/20256th14/126%67%+0.40
26/03/202610th50/10%47%+0.47
11/05/20267th80/10%60%+0.60
19/05/20263rd25/10%86%+0.86
10/07/20264th33/10%73%+0.73
25/07/20264th40/10%67%+0.67