4

Leia Highland

5yo Filly · 0-0

Chateaubriant · Prix Henri Portais - Attele · 1m 3f 95y

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

9%

Place Prob

18%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Nantes 14/02/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m3f67y Std 014/02C?C0 @ Laval 06/03/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 0C0 @ Les Sables 05/08/2025 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m5f38y Std 05/08C?C0 @ Vincennes 01/09/2025 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Laval 25/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 025/09C?C0 @ Les Sables 20/10/2025 · Pos 9th of 18 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 0C0 @ Le Mans 15/12/2025 · Pos 10th of 17 · OR - · 1m6f146y Std 015/12C?C0 @ Argentan 11/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 05 @ Pontchateau 04/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f202y Std 04/065projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-04Pontchateau57th7th0
2026-05-18Vire?0
2026-05-11Argentan?1st1st0
2025-12-15Le Mans?10th10th0
2025-10-20Les Sables?9th9th0
2025-09-25Laval?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/021/0915/124/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength96%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/02/20252nd14/126%92%+0.65
06/03/20252nd22/10%92%+0.92
05/08/202510th40/10%10%+0.10
01/09/202515th33/10%0%0.00
25/09/20258th33/10%53%+0.53
20/10/20259th25/10%53%+0.53
15/12/202510th50/10%44%+0.44
11/05/20261st16/116%100%+0.84
04/06/20267th5/174%54%-0.20