2

Love To Run

5yo Filly · 0-0

Chateaubriant · Prix Henri Portais - Attele · 1m 3f 95y

#3

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

10%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Nantes 14/02/2025 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 1m3f67y Std 014/02C?C0 @ Chateaubriant 25/05/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m3f95y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 26/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 026/08C?C0 @ Pornichet 20/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 0C0 @ Angers 08/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m3f149y Std 08/12C?C0 @ Argentan 23/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 18 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 06 @ Angers 15/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m7f117y Std 015/016C0 @ Caen 15/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 015/06C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-15Caen?10th10th0
2026-01-15Angers64th4th0
2025-12-23Argentan?4th4th0
2025-12-08Angers?2nd2nd0
2025-11-09Chatelaillon?0
2025-09-20Pornichet?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/0220/0915/0115/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 12
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength27%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/02/20254th16/116%75%+0.59
25/05/20252nd9/153%91%+0.38
26/08/20252nd10/147%93%+0.46
20/09/20258th66/10%46%+0.46
08/12/20252nd25/10%93%+0.93
23/12/20254th10/382%82%-0.00
15/01/20264th8/158%80%+0.22
15/06/202610th66/10%40%+0.40