5

Liberal Baby
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Chateaubriant · Prix Ready Cash - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#8
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Mauquenchy | 6 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Cabourg | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Caen | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Mauquenchy | 5 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Caen | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Graignes | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength51%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/12/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 92% | +0.18 |
| 27/02/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 28/04/2026 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 54% | +0.06 |
| 04/06/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 15/06/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 14/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 23/07/2026 | 9th | 28/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |