1
Lovely One
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Chateaubriant · Prix Ready Cash - Attele · 1m 3f 95y
#5
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-23 | Pornichet | 6 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Cabourg | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-06-18 | Caen | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Vichy | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-29 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-12-01 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength10%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 20/09/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 19/10/2025 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 64% | -0.27 |
| 14/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 92% | +0.21 |
| 01/12/2025 | 9th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 29/12/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 28/05/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 38% | -0.47 |
| 18/06/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 70% | +0.07 |
| 23/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 64% | +0.27 |