11

Keops De Castelle

6yo Gelding · 10-3

Chateaubriant · Prix Meaulnes Du Corta - Monte · 1m 3f 204y

#3

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

6%

Place Prob

12%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength13%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Caen 11/03/2024 · Pos 5th of 16 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 011/03C?C0 @ Caen 18/03/2024 · Pos 5th of 17 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 25/05/2024 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 025/05C?C0 @ Caen 10/06/2024 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f39y Std 139C0 @ Cabourg 09/07/2024 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 09/07C?C0 @ Chatelaillon 13/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m4f94y Std 0C0 @ Cabourg 15/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 12315/10C?C0 @ Mauquenchy 04/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 143C0 @ Vincennes 11/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 12811/02C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-07Cabourg?0
2026-03-24Enghien?0
2026-03-02Le Croise-Laroche?0
2026-02-11Vincennes?2nd2nd0
2026-02-04Mauquenchy?4th4th0
2025-10-15Cabourg?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/0310/0615/1011/02
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength74%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/03/20245th25/10%73%+0.73
18/03/20245th13/266%75%+0.09
25/05/20247th15/261%57%-0.03
10/06/20246th18/15%64%+0.59
09/07/20244th18/15%77%+0.72
13/07/20252nd7/282%92%+0.10
15/10/20252nd15/890%92%+0.02
04/02/20264th15/261%73%+0.12
11/02/20262nd9/276%90%+0.14