4
Kervignac
6yo Gelding · 10-3
Chateaubriant · Prix Meaulnes Du Corta - Monte · 1m 3f 204y
#2
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
14%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Pornichet | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Chartres | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | Pontchateau | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | Chartres | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-25 | Pornichet | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 14
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength39%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/2024 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 19/07/2025 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 43% | -0.31 |
| 05/08/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 25/08/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 05/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 12/04/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 07/05/2026 | 5th | 11/10 | 94% | 69% | -0.25 |
| 28/05/2026 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 63% | -0.29 |
| 08/07/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 40% | -0.15 |