10

Koala Des Arcs

6yo Gelding · 10-3

Chateaubriant · Prix Meaulnes Du Corta - Monte · 1m 3f 204y

#1

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

71%

Place Prob

41%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.4)

Highest class: 6
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Meslay Du Maine 30/05/2024 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 030/05C?C0 @ Les Sables 06/09/2024 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 0C0 @ Les Sables 21/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 18 · OR - · 1m5f147y Std 021/10C?C0 @ Nantes 06/11/2024 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 0C0 @ Nantes 14/02/2025 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f200y Std 014/02C?C0 @ Pontchateau 06/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m5f202y 143C0 @ Maure De Bretagne 24/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 14324/03C?C0 @ Meslay Du Maine 04/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 143C0 @ Les Sables 02/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m5f174y Std 1432/06C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-15Lisieux?0
2026-07-08Pornichet?0
2026-06-02Les Sables?4th4th0
2026-05-14Nantes70
2026-05-04Meslay Du Maine?2nd2nd0
2026-04-22Chateaubriant?0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/056/1124/032/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength51%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/05/20241st8/158%100%+0.42
06/09/20248th7/163%59%-0.04
21/10/20241st6/168%100%+0.32
06/11/20242nd10/382%93%+0.11
14/02/20259th66/10%47%+0.47
06/03/20262nd50/10%92%+0.92
24/03/20264th9/276%70%-0.06
04/05/20262nd20/10%89%+0.89
02/06/20264th17/255%73%+0.17