13

Krick Du Guesclin

6yo Gelding · 10-3

Chateaubriant · Prix Meaulnes Du Corta - Monte · 1m 3f 204y

#4

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

3%

Place Prob

8%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 5.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Vincennes 25/06/2024 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 025/06C?C0 @ Vincennes 15/10/2024 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 29/10/2024 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 13929/10C?C0 @ Vincennes 22/12/2024 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 07/01/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 07/01C?C0 @ Vincennes 04/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Vincennes 02/05/2025 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 02/05C?C0 @ Enghien 28/06/2025 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 0C0 @ Pornichet 17/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 017/07C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 14
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-11Laval40
2025-09-20Pornichet?0
2025-07-17Pornichet?3rd3rd0
2025-06-28Enghien?14th14th0
2025-05-02Vincennes?11th11th0
2025-04-04Vincennes?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0622/122/0517/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 14
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength21%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/06/20243rd11/271%80%+0.09
15/10/202411th66/10%33%+0.33
29/10/20244th12/137%63%+0.26
22/12/20243rd28/10%83%+0.83
07/01/20251st18/15%100%+0.95
04/04/20252nd17/255%92%+0.37
02/05/202511th16/116%17%+0.01
28/06/202514th66/10%13%+0.13
17/07/20253rd6/168%78%+0.09