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9

Holly Green

9yo Mare · 0-0

Chateaubriant · Grand Prix D'ete - Attele · 1m 3f 95y

#9

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.6 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Vincennes 20/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 020/025C0 @ Laval 05/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 17 · OR - · 1m6f36y Std 06 @ Lisieux 26/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 026/0364 @ Vincennes 03/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m5f92y Std 0C0 @ Graignes 28/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m5f120y Std 028/04C?5 @ Caen 09/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 16 · OR - · 1m2f205y Std 05 @ Mauquenchy 04/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 04/065C0 @ Le Mont-Saint-Michel 30/06/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 1m4f203y Std 0C0 @ Enghien 02/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m6f64y Std 02/08C?projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-02Enghien?8th8th0
2026-07-23Mauquenchy50
2026-06-30Le Mont-Saint-Michel?13th13th0
2026-06-04Mauquenchy56th6th0
2026-05-09Caen56th6th0
2026-04-28Graignes?10th10th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today20/023/044/062/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
20/02/20269th25/10%38%+0.38
05/03/20263rd33/10%88%+0.88
26/03/20263rd13/266%85%+0.19
03/04/20266th22/10%58%+0.58
28/04/202610th15/261%31%-0.30
09/05/20266th18/15%67%+0.61
04/06/20266th12/137%58%+0.21
30/06/202613th11/142%14%-0.28
02/08/20268th66/10%13%+0.13