5
Bogliasco
3yo Colt · 8-13
Clairefontaine · Prix Kenmare Stakes · 1m 3f 204y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 8.2 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-28 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-03-24 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 11th | 14th | −3 |
| 2025-11-01 | Deauville | ? | 5th | 8th | −3 |
| 2025-10-02 | Chantilly | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
| 2025-09-12 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 8th | 11th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2025 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 02/10/2025 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 01/11/2025 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 24/03/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 23% | +0.18 |
| 08/05/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 28/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |