4
Defining
3yo Gelding · 8-13
Clairefontaine · Prix Kenmare Stakes · 1m 3f 204y
#2
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
35%
Place Prob
30%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Compiegne | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-04-24 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
| 2026-04-03 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 6th | 9th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 44% | -0.19 |
| 24/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 20/05/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |