1
Ebiyar
3yo Colt · 8-13
Clairefontaine · Prix Kenmare Stakes · 1m 3f 204y
#1
Rank
Odds
8/11
Win Prob
52%
Place Prob
37%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.3
Today: 2
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Compiegne | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-05 | ParisLongchamp | 1 | 6th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-10-19 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength51%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 05/04/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 0% | -0.86 |
| 05/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/6 | 96% | 88% | -0.09 |
| 09/07/2026 | 3rd | 8/11 | 96% | 60% | -0.36 |