3
Sumaco
3yo Colt · 8-13
Clairefontaine · Prix Kenmare Stakes · 1m 3f 204y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/11
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 2.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 2
Class gap: -2.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Dieppe | ? | 1st | 4th | −3 |
| 2026-05-20 | Compiegne | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-04-05 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 20/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/4 | 91% | 83% | -0.07 |
| 06/06/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |