1
Acotango
5yo Gelding · 9-9
Clairefontaine · Prix Des Glaieuls Claiming Stakes · 1m 3f 204y
#4
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength6%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | Dieppe | 2 | 16th | 15th | +1 |
| 2026-04-15 | Evreux | 4 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-09 | Moulins | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-27 | Compiegne | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Fontainebleau | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength15%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/02/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 11/02/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 43% | -0.28 |
| 28/02/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 91% | +0.07 |
| 06/03/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |
| 15/03/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 09/04/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 15/04/2026 | 2nd | 13/8 | 91% | 89% | -0.03 |
| 30/07/2026 | 16th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |