3
Allure
4yo Gelding · 9-4
Clairefontaine · Prix Des Glaieuls Claiming Stakes · 1m 3f 204y
#5
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength39%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.8
Today: 3
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Auteuil | 1 | 13th | 11th | +2 |
| 2026-04-18 | Strasbourg | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Fontainebleau | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Kempton | 1 | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
| 2025-12-09 | Fontainebleau | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-20 | Deauville | ? | 8th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07/2025 | 1st | 4/11 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 09/08/2025 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 80% | +0.38 |
| 31/08/2025 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 20/10/2025 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 22% | +0.06 |
| 09/12/2025 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 92% | +0.08 |
| 21/02/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 29/03/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |
| 18/04/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 70% | -0.23 |
| 16/05/2026 | 13th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |