2

Boogie
8yo Gelding · 9-5
Clairefontaine · Prix Des Glaieuls Claiming Stakes · 1m 3f 204y
#2
Rank
Odds
15/8
Win Prob
22%
Place Prob
27%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength15%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Aix-Les-Bains | 4 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-12 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Salon-De-Provence | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-29 | Lyon-Parilly | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Marseille-borely | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength60%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/12/2025 | 5th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 14/01/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 11/02/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 57% | -0.32 |
| 18/03/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 10/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 29/04/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 78% | +0.09 |
| 25/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 12/06/2026 | 9th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 30/06/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |