6

Estivale
3yo Filly · 9-2
Clairefontaine · Prix Du Quai Au Coq Maiden Stakes · 6f 211y
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Compiegne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2026 | 9th | 15/8 | 90% | 38% | -0.52 |
| 05/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 78% | -0.05 |
| 16/07/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |