5
Nova Luxor
3yo Gelding · 9-2
Clairefontaine · Prix Gris Vitesse Maiden Stakes · 6f 211y
#5
Rank
Odds
15/8
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | Vichy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-29 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 10
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength96%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/2026 | 4th | 17/2 | 55% | 75% | +0.20 |
| 17/04/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 80% | +0.75 |
| 22/07/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 86% | -0.04 |