4

Atalaya

3yo Filly · 9-5

Clairefontaine · Prix Des Anemones Handicap · 1m 2f 205y

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

5%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Deauville 02/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1282/12C5C5 @ Deauville 29/12/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 128C5 @ Deauville 09/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1279/01C5C5 @ Lyon La Soie 21/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 124C0 @ Pornichet 05/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f96y Std 1275/02C?C5 @ Saint-Cloud 05/03/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 127C5 @ Fontainebleau 20/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 12320/04C5C0 @ Saint-Cloud 01/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 128C0 @ Clairefontaine 03/07/2026 · Pos 13th of 15 · OR - · 1m208y Gd 1283/07C?projClass-projected finish: 10th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-03Clairefontaine?13th13th0
2026-05-01Saint-Cloud?12th12th0
2026-04-20Fontainebleau?6th6th0
2026-03-05Saint-Cloud?7th7th0
2026-02-05Pornichet?5th5th0
2026-01-21Lyon La Soie?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/1221/0120/043/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 13
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/12/20254th80/10%79%+0.79
29/12/202512th12/137%15%-0.21
09/01/20264th20/10%63%+0.63
21/01/20263rd11/271%75%+0.04
05/02/20265th14/126%60%+0.34
05/03/20267th13/266%33%-0.32
20/04/20266th10/147%0%-0.47
01/05/202612th10/147%21%-0.26
03/07/202613th12/137%14%-0.23