13

Capouchine

3yo Filly · 8-10

Clairefontaine · Prix Des Anemones Handicap · 1m 2f 205y

#10

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 10.3 /10 (raw 7.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Machecoul 22/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 1m3f149y Hvy 12822/02C5C5 @ Fontainebleau 13/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 120C0 @ Le Croise-Laroche 20/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m208y Hvy 12020/03C?C5 @ Fontainebleau 31/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 117C0 @ Saint-Cloud 01/05/2026 · Pos 15th of 15 · OR - · 1m1f207y GS 1221/05C?C5 @ Le Croise-Laroche 17/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m208y Gd 117C5 @ Compiegne 13/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12013/06C5C0 @ Clairefontaine 03/07/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 1m208y Gd 125C0 @ Vittel 27/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 11627/07C?projClass-projected finish: 12th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-27Vittel?7th7th0
2026-07-03Clairefontaine?14th14th0
2026-06-13Compiegne?10th10th0
2026-05-17Le Croise-Laroche?7th7th0
2026-05-01Saint-Cloud?15th15th0
2026-03-31Fontainebleau?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/0231/0313/0627/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 13
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 13. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/02/20264th28/10%73%+0.73
13/03/20264th20/10%80%+0.80
20/03/20265th16/116%67%+0.51
31/03/20269th33/10%20%+0.20
01/05/202615th28/10%0%0.00
17/05/20267th66/10%40%+0.40
13/06/202610th33/10%18%+0.18
03/07/202614th25/10%7%+0.07
27/07/20267th40/10%14%+0.14